← Phantom Monarchs Store Championship
Fire Firebloom BurnTier 1
at Phantom Monarchs Store Championship
decks
1
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
2-2-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
55.8%
avg ELO +3.7 per match
expected value
50.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1204
· median 1204
· range 1204–1204
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1147
Q1 1197
Q3 1328
1527
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 41.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.9% | +2.8 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.0% | +20.8 |
| Horse and Taxes | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.8% | -11.5 |
| Wind Chess | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Firebloom Burn decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
